Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.168310 0.193367 0.222074 0.257660 0.300959 0.352410 0.418896
2025-03-23 0.131440 0.163930 0.205457 0.263589 0.344805 0.457350 0.630985
2025-03-30 0.105959 0.139834 0.186601 0.258212 0.369601 0.544815 0.861138
2025-04-06 0.091465 0.126243 0.177341 0.261684 0.405773 0.660394 1.196738
2025-04-13 0.079563 0.113655 0.166230 0.258390 0.428567 0.761233 1.569282
2025-04-20 0.071985 0.106058 0.160969 0.262782 0.465403 0.903725 2.143372
2025-04-27 0.066331 0.100467 0.157717 0.269525 0.508514 1.080285 2.980683
2025-05-04 0.061486 0.095414 0.154362 0.275032 0.550703 1.277872 4.135807
2025-05-11 0.057622 0.091446 0.152189 0.282230 0.599289 1.523073 5.885369
2025-05-18 0.053818 0.087067 0.148506 0.285324 0.639083 1.770555 8.204704
2025-05-25 0.050339 0.082842 0.144455 0.286673 0.675050 2.034377 11.419712
2025-06-01 0.046992 0.078478 0.139502 0.284873 0.701831 2.288757 15.609959
2025-06-08 0.043577 0.073709 0.133247 0.279083 0.716266 2.515017 20.896650
2025-06-15 0.041727 0.071768 0.132655 0.287449 0.780314 3.044945 34.546242
2025-06-22 0.038972 0.067776 0.127157 0.281966 0.795825 3.351584 48.862080
2025-06-29 0.037202 0.065580 0.125319 0.286020 0.848358 3.952800 83.693817
2025-07-06 0.035075 0.062461 0.121027 0.282375 0.870604 4.402919 131.621174
2025-07-13 0.033698 0.060763 0.119783 0.287316 0.930917 5.252470 268.905814
2025-07-20 0.032583 0.059512 0.119425 0.294890 1.007697 6.431368 700.679026
2025-07-27 0.031469 0.058157 0.118652 0.301078 1.082900 7.829768 2376.219071
2025-08-03 0.030527 0.057093 0.118460 0.309171 1.173846 9.754132 17322.127939
2025-08-10 0.029423 0.055578 0.116960 0.312653 1.244259 11.746389 696133.434109
2025-08-17 0.028309 0.053951 0.114994 0.314170 1.306162 13.966618 NaN